If Europe is sucked into this illegal conflict with Iran, public support for rearmament could collapse – and only Putin will benefit
Once again, Donald Trump has deployed Nato as leverage to get the US’s European allies to submit to his will. After launching an unprovoked war against Iran, in response to which Tehran’s closure of the strait of Hormuz to shipping has sent oil prices soaring, Trump now wants his Nato allies in Europe to step in to help clean up his mess. Europeans should do nothing of the kind.
Trump’s war of choice with Iran is not going well. Iran has retaliated by targeting US assets and allies in the Gulf. At least 13 US service members have so far been killed in this conflict – a figure dwarfed by more than 1,200 civilian Iranian deaths. The US has spent $16.5bn on just the first 12 days of the war, more than its total humanitarian assistance budget for 2024. Prolonged high oil prices could lead to a recession in Europe and parts of Asia.
Armida van Rij is a senior research fellow at the Centre for European Reform